Decision Analysis: Introduction, Steps

Required Reading:

1. Sox HC et al_Expected Value Decision Making_Ch 6 in Sox HC et al--Medical Decision Making_1988.pdf

Note/Slide Files: DCEA10_Lecture 1.ppt (683 KB) DCEA10_Lecture1.doc (68 KB)

Section 1 Homework Review

Required Reading:

1. Detsky AS et al_Primer on Medical DA--Part 1--Getting Started_In Med Decis Making_Apr-Jun 1997.pdf
2. Detsky AS et al_Primer on Medical DA--Part 2--Builiding a Tree_In Med Decis Making_Apr-Jun 1997.pdf
3. Naglie G et al_Primer on Medical DA--Part 3--Est Probs & Utilities_In Med Decis Making_Apr-Jun 1997.pdf

Note/Slide Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW1_Grading_Criteria_altered(1).xls (14 KB)

Assignment Files: DCEA10_Section1Assignment.doc (42 KB)

Assignment Answer Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW1_Anskey_Ted_Omachi_Example(1).xls (27 KB) DCEA10_Mam_HW1_Assignment_Commentary[1].doc (32 KB) DCEA10_Mam_HW2_AnsKey_Sei_Lee_Example(1).xls (23 KB)

Utilities/QALYS

Required Reading:

1. Shlipak MG_Decision Analysis_Ch 2 in Friedland DJ et al--Evidence-Based Medicine_1998

Note/Slide Files: DCEA10_Lec2_Utility_QALYs_Discounting_ABC.ppt (777 KB)

Section 2 Homework Review - Utilities/QALYs

Assignment Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW2_AnsKey.xls (57 KB) DCEA10_Mam_HW2_Assignment Commentary.doc (29 KB) DCEA10_Mam_HW2_Results of Single Variable Changes to Tree(s).xls (73 KB) Homework 2 Grade distribution.pdf (78 KB)

Cost Effectiveness Analysis: Overview

Required Reading:

1. Eisenberg JM_Clinical Economics_In JAMA_11-24-89.pdf
2. Russell LB et al_CEA as a Guide to Resource Allocation in Health_Ch 1 in Gold MR et al--C E in Health & Medicine_1996.pdf

Optional Reading:

1. Coffield_Preventive Services Priorities_AmJrnlPrevMed_2001.pdf
2. Ubel_Price of Life--$ per QALY_ArchInternMed_2003.pdf

Note/Slide Files: DCEA10_Lecture 3_v1.ppt (3216 KB)

Cost Effectiveness: Data Inputs (Costs)

Required Reading:

1. US Preventative Services Task Force_Methodology_Ch 2 in USPSTF Guide to Clinical Preventive Services_1996.pdf

Note/Slide Files: DCEA10_Lecture 4_v1.ppt (783 KB)

Section 3 Homework Review - Costs

Assignment Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW3_Feb4.xls (93 KB) DCEA10_Section 3 Assignment.doc (44 KB)

HIV

Assignment Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW3_Assignment Commentary.doc (31 KB) Homework 3 Grade distribution.pdf (75 KB) intro_Math_model_inf_dis.ppt (2001 KB)

Assignment Answer Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW3_AnswerKey.xls (88 KB)

Section 4 Homework Review - Data Search & Summary

Assignment Files: DCEA10_Section 4 Assignment.doc (49 KB)

Cost Effectiveness: Sensitivity Analyses

Required Reading:

1. Krahn MD_Primer on Med DA--Part 5--Analyzing the Model & Interpreting the Results_Med Decis Making_Apr-Jun 1997.pdf

Section 5 Homework Review - Sensitivity Analysis

Note/Slide Files: SA_3machDCEASession5.ppt (2706 KB)

Assignment Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW5_Assignment Commentary.doc (37 KB) DCEA10_Mam_HW5_Mar4.xls (111 KB) DCEA10_Section 5 Assignment.doc (37 KB)

Assignment Answer Files: DCEA10_Mam_HW5_AnsKey.xls (131 KB)

Portraying Disease Progression: Markov modeling

Required Reading:

1. Naimark D et al_Primer on Medical DA--Part 5--Working with Markov Proceses_Med Decision Making_Apr-Jun 1997.pdf

Note/Slide Files: DCEA10_Lecture 6_Markov_ABC.ppt (943 KB)

Section 6 Homework Review - Journal Article Review; Markov

Required Reading:

1. Harris RA et al_CU of prenatal diagnosis & the risk-based threshold_The Lancet_24Jan2004.pdf
2. Lindfors KK et al_CE of Mammo Screening Strategies_JAMA_20Sept1995.pdf

Assignment Files: DCEA10_HW6_Har_Mar11.doc (52 KB) DCEA10_HW6_Lin_Mar11.doc (53 KB) DCEA10_Section 6 Assignment.doc (41 KB)